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Energy, environment, justice
Chris Greacen Sheila Bijoor Palang Thai
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Outline Problems Solutions?
Global warming (only part of the “energy-environment crisis”) Causes Impacts Solutions? Saving energy Renewable energy
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Getting hotter:1000 years of global temperature
the past decade was the warmest in 1,000 years, the 1990s are the warmest decade ever, and 1998 set the benchmark for the warmest year yet.
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Global temperature dramatically increases, especially during the last decade and scientists predicts the future surface temperature to be … ช่วงที่มีการสังเกตการณ์ Projections in the next 100 years During the last 100 years ในรอบ 1,000 ปีที่ผ่านมา Source: IPCC, See
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1. ประเด็นทางวิทยาศาสตร์
การกระจายของอุณหภูมิผิวโลกเฉลี่ยโดยประมาณ
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Greenhouse effect – how greenhouse gases make the world hotter
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How the world gets hotter
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Carbon Dioxide - The Last 10,000 years
Measurements are shown from ice cores (symbols with different colours for different studies) and atmospheric samples (red lines).
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Rising CO2 – measured since 1958
The greenhouse gas of greatest concern is CO2, which is released with the burning of fossil fuels.
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Power sector accounts for 38% of global CO2 emissions
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Man-made CO2 in 2002 (% of total)
Source: IEA
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Per Capita CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and industry, 1996
Thailand (1997): 0.77
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Cumulative CO2 emissions 1900-1999
From fossil fuel combustion and land-use change From WRI (Baumert and Kete 2002)
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Per capita income (PPP) 1999
From WRI (Baumert and Kete 2002)
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The Champagne Glass Human Development Report 1992
UNDP, Human Development Report, 1998
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Electricity use in Thailand in 2003
Source: Figure 19, Statistical Report Fiscal Year 2003 Power Forecast and Statistics Analysis Department System Control and Operation Division. Report No. SOD-FSSR
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N NE C Metro S แม่เมาะ 2,625 MW เทินหินบุน 214 MW สิริกิติ์ 500 MW
EPEC 350 MW บางปะกง 3,675 MW บ่อวิน 713 MW TECO 700 MW ราชบุรี 3,645 MW IPT 700 MW ระยอง 1,232 MW Metro เขต กทม. พระนครใต้ 2,288 MW หนองจอก MW S ขนอม 824 MW รัชชประภา 240 MW ระบบส่ง 230,000 โวลต์ ระบบส่ง 500,000 โวลต์ สุราษฎร์ 240 MW โรงไฟฟ้าพลังความร้อน โรงไฟฟ้าพลังน้ำ โรงไฟฟ้าพลังความร้อนร่วม บางลาง 72 MW โรงไฟฟ้ากังหันแก็ส
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Small residential customers use very little
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Some effects of climate change…
Snow on Mt. Kilmanjaro (Kenya) almost all melted within the past 7 years 1993 (2536) 2000 (2543) Source: IUCN
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Polar ice melting กรีนแลนด์ บริเวณขั้วโลกเหนือ Ice melting areas
Albedo Effect กรีนแลนด์ บริเวณขั้วโลกเหนือ Ice melting areas Source of picture: bbc.co.uk
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Source: Government of South Australia, 2005 See http://www
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Impacts: flooding & sea-level rise
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Impact on Bangladesh of sea rise of 1.5 meters
Source: UNEP/GRID See
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Apart from CO2 reduction, adaptation is needed…
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ปริมาณฝนเฉลี่ยในคาบ 50 ปี ของไทย
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อุณหภูมิสูงสุดเฉลี่ยในคาบ 50 ปี ของไทย
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อุณหภูมิต่ำสุดเฉลี่ยในคาบ 50 ปี ของไทย
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Impacts: extreme weather events
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Economic impacts -- especially from extreme weather
“2005 Atlantic hurricane season has clearly been the most active season on record”
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Impacts: in parts of the world -- less rain, less crops
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ฤ massive influx of fresh water could alter the ocean's salt content and eventually impact the great ocean circulatory systems that regulate the planet's climate.
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Source: BBC UK, 2005; UNEP, 2006 See http://www. grida
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Climate change used to justify… BIG DAMS
Ecological/social damage from flooding Decimated fish stocks Especially impacts rural politically disempowered (Often does cause climate change)
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NUCLEAR Expensive Waste deadly for at least 250,000 years
We can’t figure out how to dispose of waste Unavoidable weapons linkages
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Global warming is only a tiny part of the energy/ecology/society story…
One large shopping mall (average consumption): 10 Megawatt Pak Mun Dam (average production): 40 Megawatt Fish stocks decimated 10 years of protest, villagers Communities forcefully relocated
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Are there alternatives? … yes…
Save energy Use clean (renewable) energy
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(Real) Buddhist values
Moderation / simplicity Emphasis on “being” rather than “having”
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Energy waste in a typical pumping system
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Saving electricity is cheaper than generating it
Demand Side Management (saving electricity) Source: The World Bank (1993)
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household and daily activities
GHGs emissions from household and daily activities ที่มา : Australian Greenhouse Office (2003) See
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Electricity consumption in households
Source:
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ปลูกสร้างอาคารให้สอดคล้องกับทิศการรับความร้อน ปลูกต้นไม้ให้ความร่มรื่น และช่วยลดอุณหภูมิ
South ที่มา : Australian Greenhouse Office (2003)
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California energy conservation programs save $1000 per family/year
Estimate some of the causes of this 2%/year gain. Each year, the cost of conservation programs, public interest R&D, and standards adds ~1% to electric bills, but cuts 1/2% off the bill. So an investment of $1 in say 1990 saves $.50 per year for 10 to 20 years. Calif annual electric bill in 2004 ~ $32 B, so we’ve avoided ~$16 B of bills, but net saving is only ~$12B/year, i.e. $1000/family/yr.
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Source: Presentation by Ministry of Energy at Energy Strategy Workshop chaired by Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra. 28 August 2003
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Very little electricity comes from renewables…
0.6% from Renewable Energy Source: EGAT PDP 2003
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Energy efficient end-use
Old way New way Power plant Power plant Biomass Wind power Biomass Solar Customers Energy efficient end-use
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Biogas from Pig Farms Reduces air and water pollution
Produces fertilizer Produces electricity Biogas from Pig Farms
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Biogas from Pig Farms 5000 pigs $31 / day elec.
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Korat Waste to Energy - biogas
Uses waste water from cassava to make methane Produces gas for all factory heat (30 MW thermal) + 3 MW of electricity Earns high market returns Developer estimates 300 MW from waste water MW from wet cake
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Korat Waste to Energy - biogas
3 x 1 MW Jenbacher gas generators
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Micro-hydroelectricity
This diagram shows the main components of stand-alone micro-hydroelectric systems of the type used in remote villages in Thailand. A small weir diverts water to a power canal or pipe. After traveling horizontally some distance, the water enters a forebay where sediment settles, and then falls down a steep, high pressure penstock pipe to drive a turbine located in the powerhouse. Water returns to the river via the tailrace. Because these projects are quite small and typically have little or no reservoir, environmental impact is much less than for conventional hydroelectric projects. Source: Inversin, A. R. (1986). Micro-Hydropower Sourcebook.
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40 kW micro-hydro generator at Mae Kam Pong
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Replacing small diesel generators with renewable energy
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Kre Khi village micro-hydro 2003
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Kre Khi village Microhydro
Estimated power: 500 Watts Head: 8 meters Flow: 20 liters/second Total Installed cost: $2500
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E Wi Jo village microhydro
Estimated power: 750 Watts Head: 20 meters Flow: 20 liters/second Total installed cost: <$2000
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3 kW Pump as Turbine
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Community micro-hydro
Mae Kam Pong village, Chiang Mai 40 kW Community cooperative Expected gross revenues: $750/month
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What to do? Get informed Get involved: Public hearings
Help make alternatives happen Save energy Meeting to discuss village micro-hydro renewable energy project in Mae Kam Pong Village, Chiang Mai
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Thank you! For more information contact: Tel. (+011) 662-672-0364
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